The car. 85% of South of Fraser commuters, according to Translink, currently commute point-to-point by vehicle. If we want to expand rapid transit in Surrey, then we must remember this crucial fact: transit competes with automobile travel.
Translink expects and sets a goal of having 50% of all south of fraser trips by transit in 2040, but will they ever meet that goal with LRT?
Let’s put the Coquitlam-White Rock corridor (via Guildford, Whalley and Newton) into perspective. Between Douglas College and Semiahmoo Town Centre Station using 104 Avenue and King George Boulevard, the distance is 37km.
(to drive is nearly 2x as fast!)
In Seattle, an even bigger city than Vancouver, LRT servicing mostly airport commuters has 1/5th of the ridership of our Canada Line.
In Portland, traffic levels on an adjacent freeway continued to increase after the introduction of light rail.
Los Angeles spent tons of money on light rail lines that are 11 times less cost effective than freeway lanes (which can be dedicated to HOV/bus lines), only to receive one third of the predicted ridership. This resulted in the rise in bus fares and the cutting of bus service, with the ultimate outcome of lower overall ridership for the entire transit system.
In Dallas, faulty ridership predictions for their light rail system have caused a major financial disaster. The light rail system in Dallas now has less ridership than when it first opened.
In these North American cities, light rail has proven itself unworthy as that competition. Sadly, we point out the result may be the same in Surrey/the South of Fraser.
Most people in the South of Fraser would rather pay for gas than pay for transit, no matter what the premium, due to the convenience of automobile point-to-point travel. Meaning LRT may not successfully attract the average Surrey automobile commuter and entice people to make a change in commute type.
SkyTrain for Surrey is the community organization that advocated for the Surrey-Langley SkyTrain extension. From our beginnings as a petition calling for the scrapping of a street-level LRT proposal, we grew into a community of like-minded folk, taking on various projects such as making SkyTrain an election issue in 2018 as a registered advocacy group. SkyTrain for Surrey continues to call for high-quality transit infrastructure projects serving Surrey, Delta and the Langleys.
Daryl Dela Cruz – Founder, SkyTrain for Surrey
Phone: +1 604 329 3529, [email protected]